NEWS

NEWS 2025.05.29

Japan must reject investment in the risky and uneconomic Alaska LNG project

Photo from Canva

Tokyo, 29th May 2025 – Today, more than 150 groups from Japan and the world sent an open letter to the Japanese Prime Minister urging not to join the costly Alaska LNG projects. This 2nd of June, the US President Donald Trump’s National Energy Dominance Council is planning a summit meeting on the proposed USD 44 billion Alaska LNG project, and it has been reported that the US aims to pressure the leaders of Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, India and others to invest in this egregious project. 

The hugely uneconomic Alaska LNG Project has failed to get off the ground for decades. Without public funding from Japan or the U.S., the project is not likely to proceed. 

Hiroki Osada, Campaigner, Friends of the Earth Japan said “For Japan, Alaska LNG is absolutely unnecessary. Japanese companies resold 37% of LNG they handled, simply because Japan is buying LNG much more than it needs. Starting another new LNG project is already a horrible decision considering this, but it is even more outrageous given it also exacerbates climate change beyond threshold, and destroys the indigenous way of life and the biodiversity in Alaska. It would be hard to convince Japanese people why their public money should be spent to do exactly that, only to please a president who will never be pleased enough.”

“The Trump Administration is trying to sell a plan for Alaska LNG that’s a public burden for U.S. taxpayers,” says Raena Garcia, Senior Energy Campaigner at Friends of the Earth U.S. “For months, President Trump has used bully tactics, dangling Alaska LNG in front of buyers in the Asia Pacific while employing the threat of tariffs. But Trump’s word carries a ‘buyer beware’ with no guarantees – and U.S. taxpayers will likely pay the price.”

Sarah Furman, Fairbanks Climate Action Coalition says “The Alaska LNG Pipeline project is bad economics, bad for the planet and bad for Alaskans. The Trump administration is bullying Alaska and international leaders to invest in a project that lacks long-term economic viability, will slow the necessary transition off of fossil fuels, and cause irreversible harm to the land, people, and animals that call this place home. We will continue to stand against the LNG pipeline – Alaska is not for sale!”

Japan is also actively expanding the LNG market in Asia through investments in import terminals and gas-fired power plants, not for enhancing energy security, but for enabling long-term demand for its LNG exports. 

“We’re particularly worried about the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) which is one of the largest foreign financiers of gas in Asia and has a track record of funding controversial fossil fuel projects and promoting false solutions such as ammonia and hydrogen co-firing, and carbon capture use and storage technologies. Together with JBIC, Japan’s private financiers, like its megabanks (MUFG, SMBC & Mizuho),  are accelerating the region’s descent into the climate crisis,” said Lidy Nacpil, Coordinator of the Asian Peoples’ Movement on Debt and Development and Convener of the Don’t Gas Asia Campaign.“Given the fact that Japan is trying to expand the Asian market to resell its excessive gas, Japan’s continued investment in LNG infrastructure exposes Asian communities to greater climate risks and economic instability. These projects are not just environmentally harmful — they also threaten to become a huge  burden for countries with debt and delay a just energy transition.” Nacpil added. 

“While LNG export may present short-term economic benefits to some, it represents the risk of being locked into the extremely expensive and dirty energy for decades, and we obviously don’t want that. Local communities near LNG import terminals in Map Ta Phut, Thailand, are already suffering from declining fish catch and loss of livelihood because of the LNG buildout. Japanese finance is a big part of the problem, because JBIC finances gas infrastructures, including gas-fired power plants that are part of this LNG expansion. We urge Japan not to create another example of community-and-climate-destructing LNG projects.” said Manop Sanit, Rayong Clean Energy Coordinator. 

“It’s imperative that Japanese leaders reject Trump’s bullying and refuse to bankroll the Alaska LNG project, a decades-old mess that pre-tariff calculations show would cost at least $44 billion to construct. According to the International Energy Agency, already existing LNG capacity has the potential to push us past the key climate tipping points. Continuing to build massive, highly polluting gas projects like Alaska LNG will only create bigger barriers to a clean energy future, energy security, and affordability. For the sake of communities all over the world threatened by climate disaster, Japanese leaders need to resist Trump’s efforts to strong-arm them into investing in Alaska LNG and all risky, uneconomic U.S. LNG projects.” says Allie Rosenbluth, U.S. Campaign Manager, Oil Change International. 


 

Japan must reject investment in the risky and uneconomic Alaska LNG project

To:

Mr. Ishiba Shigeru, Prime Minister of Japan
Mr. Muto Yoji, Minister of Economy, Trade, and Industry of Japan (METI)
Mr. Akazawa Ryosei, Minister in charge of Economic Revitalization of Japan

Japan must reject investment in the risky and uneconomic Alaska LNG project

We are 153 groups from Japan and around the world concerned with the environmental crisis and the economy. This early June, the US President Donald Trump’s National Energy Dominance Council is planning a summit meeting on the proposed USD 44 billion Alaska LNG project, and it has been reported that the US’s aim is to pressure the leaders of Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, India and others to invest in this egregious project[1]. Investing in this costly and climate-wrecking project will harm local communities, the environment and the planet, and poses a serious economic burden for the Japanese economy. We request that the Japanese leaders refuse support for the project.

White elephant project has faced decades-long delays

The Alaska LNG project would transport gas from the North Slope fields via a 1,300km pipeline for domestic use and for export to Asia. The hugely uneconomic Alaska LNG Project has failed to get off the ground for decades. The project has been kept afloat by the State of Alaska and the state-backed entity, Alaska Gasline Development Corporation (AGDC). The budget of the project has fluctuated dramatically over the last 15 years, and current cost estimates are at least $44 billion[2]. These costs would likely skyrocket due to increased construction costs and tariffs on imported steel.[3]

There are clear reservations among industry leaders even though there is a strong political push by the Trump administration. In March, Japan Gas Association Chair and CEO of Tokyo Gas, Takeshi Uchida, said that Alaska LNG would be “twice the cost of conventional LNG development.[4]” Potential buyers, including Japanese and Korean companies, have expressed strong doubts about its economic feasibility and have refused to participate in the project for years[5]. Without subsidization from Japan or the U.S. the project will not likely move forward.

Moreover, Japan is facing surplus issues and does not need additional LNG. In Japan, almost 40% of the LNG handled by Japanese companies is resold overseas[6]. Demand for LNG is also weakening in Korea[7]. The project will not start until 2030 at the earliest. For several months, President Trump has been bullying overseas buyers in Asia, seeking to use potential commitments to Alaska LNG as a way to prevent tariffs. Japan, Taiwan, and Korea, among others, have responded by issuing statements of interest for LNG coming out of Alaska. It is very risky and damaging for Asian buyers to use LNG as a card for the deal. It would lock buyers in Asia into contracts that require them to purchase this overpriced gas for decades, while renewable energy gets much cheaper.

There is no demonstrable economic benefit to Japan or neighboring countries in supporting this high-cost project. The project’s viability appears contingent on Japanese public finance. Yet, such support would disproportionately benefit a narrow set of interests, rather than delivering value to Japanese industries or consumers across Asia.

The project will harm the community and the environment

Not only the financial cost, but environmental and social costs of the project will be enormous. 

According to EarthJustice, the project would be capable of exporting 20 million metric tons of gas per year — a quantity that could result in over 50 million metric tons of carbon dioxide pollution emissions annually[8]. In the report published in 2023 by the International Energy Agency titled “Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to keep the 1.5°C Goal in Reach[9]”, the report reiterated the conclusion of the 2021 report that in order to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, there is no room for developing new fossil fuel extraction projects. Clearly, there is no room for the Alaska LNG to be developed.

Additionally, the North Slope, which is the natural gas drilling site for the project, is located near the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR), a traditional living area of the indigenous Gwich’in people and one of the most pristine areas with diverse wildlife including polar bears facing extinction. Gas extraction in this region risks serious human rights violations and environmental damage[10]. The gas would be exported to Asian markets from a marine terminal on the eastern shore of the Cook Inlet in Nikiski. Cook Inlet, a sensitive water body that offers critical habitat for endangered beluga whales, could see large vessel traffic increase by nearly 75%[11].

The Arctic continues to warm at a faster rate than the global average[12], and the state is on the verge of even more catastrophic change due to warming. Alaska’s salmon are also severely affected at every stage of life by climate change[13]. The tens of thousands of Alaskans who depend on fishing for income and subsistence are immediately threatened by the carbon emissions that LNG projects lock in[14].

Several major banks, including HSBC[15] and RBC[16], have policies that restrict drilling in the Arctic area for climate and environmental concerns. Japanese non-life insurers – Tokio Marine, SOMPO, and MS&AD also have policies restricting new underwriting and investment in oil and gas extraction projects in the Arctic; the North Slope is also excluded from their underwriting[17].

It is clear that the Alaska LNG project would bring catastrophic impacts to both local communities and the planet.

Japan must say no to Alaska LNG for people and planet

Japan is facing a pivotal decision. They must decide whether to invest in the risky, uneconomic Alaska LNG project promoted by President Trump or instead invest precious resources in renewables and safeguard our communities and our climate. Investing in more LNG will worsen the climate crisis and saddle the public with risks. We urge Japanese leaders, private financiers, and companies to say no to the Alaska LNG project and put this economic boondoggle to rest once and for all.

CC:
Mr. Hayashi Nobumitsu, Governor of Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC)
Mr. Kuroda Atsuo, Chairman & CEO of Nippon Export and Investment Insurance
Mr. Takahara Ichiro, Chairman & CEO of Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC)
Mr. Ueda Takayuki, President & CEO of INPEX
Mr. Okuda Hisahide, President, CEO and COO of JERA
Mr. Sasayama Shinichi, President & CEO of Tokyo Gas
Mr. Nakanishi Katsuya, President & CEO of Mitsubishi Corporation
Mr. Hori Kenichi, President & CEO of Mitsui & Co.
Mr. Kamezawa Hironori, President & CEO of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG)
Mr. Kihara Masahiro, President & CEO of Mizuho Financial Group
Mr. Nakashima Toru, President & CEO of Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC)

Signatories

FoE Japan Japan
Kiko Network Japan
Mekong Watch Japan
Japan Center for a Sustainable Environment and Society (JACSES) Japan
350.org Japan Japan
Japan NGO Center for International Cooperation (JANIC) Japan
Pacific Asia Resource Center (PARC) Japan
Rainforest Action Network Global
Growthwatch India
Indian Social Action Forum India
PMCJ Philippines
Coastal Livelihood and Environmental Action Network (CLEAN) Bangladesh
For a Better Bayou USA
Vessel Project of Louisiana United States
Chachoengsao REPower Thailand
South Durban Community Environmental Alliance South Africa
Trend Asia Indonesia
WALHI Indonesia
Urgewald Germany
Senik Centre Asia Indonesia
Andy Gheorghiu Consulting Germany
Rhizoma Indonesia
JA!Justica Ambiental Mozambique
Africa Just Transition Network Ghana
Oilfield Witness United States
Mothers Rise Up UK
Habitat Recovery Project United States
Mossville Environmental Action Now MEAN United States
Jubilee Australia Research Centre Australia
FoE India India
Pakistan Fisherfolk Forum Pakistan
Friends of the Earth U.S. U.S.
Turtle Island Restoration Network USA
SAVE MY WORLD Republic Democratic of the Congo
Earth Ethics, Inc. United States
Indigenous Environmental Network USA
Friends of the Earth Melbourne Australia
Sahabat Alam Malaysia (Friends of the Earth Malaysia) Malaysia
Corporate Europe Observatory (CEO) EU
Otros Mundos Chiapas México
Zero Hour United States
MAUSAM Movement for Advancing Understanding of Sustainability And Mutuality India
Project SEVANA South-East Asia regional
Laos Dam Investment Monitor (LDIM) Thailand
ETOs Watch Coalition Thailand
Community Resource Centre Thailand
KRuHA (People’s Coalition for the Right to Water) Indonesia
The Mekong Butterfly Thailand
People of Asia for Climate Solutions the Philippines
Asian Peoples” Movement on Debt and Development (APMDD) Regional
Asian Energy Network (AEN) Regional
AEER (Action for Ecology and People Emancipation) Indonesia
Minoritech Japan
Corner House United Kingdom
Pro Public Nepal
Friends of the Earth England Wales and Northern Ireland England Wales and Northern Ireland
Friends of the Earth Europe Belgium
350 Bay Area Action United States
Resource Renewal Institute United States
North American Climate, Conservation and Environment(NACCE) United States
International Marine Mammal Project of Earth Island Institute USA (global in scope)
St Andrews Presbyterian Earth Care Team USA
Occupy Bergen County United States of America
MoveOn.org HobokenRESIST! USA
Unitarian Universalists for a Just Economic Community USA
350 Hawaii US
SEM spirit in education movement Thailand
Friends of the Earth Australia Australia
Taiwan Climate Action Network Taiwan
Clean Energy Action USA
Empower Our Future USA
Dream Tan USA
NTS Group USA
Greenpeace Thailand Thailand
Friends of the Earth Malta Malta
350.org US
350 Asia Indonesia
South Asian Solidarity Collective India
Between the Waters United States
Hip Hop Caucus USA
Climate Conversation Brazoria County United States
Chesapeake Climate Action Network United States
Climate Defenders US
Protect Our Water, Heritage, Rights USA
Concerned Health Providers of Pennsylvania United States
Better Path Coalition US
198 methods USA
Michigan Clinicians for Climate Action USA
Unitarian Universalists for a Just Economic Community USA
Oil Change International International / US
GreenFaith USA
Indivisible ADK/Saratoga United States
San Francisco Bay Physicians for Social Responsibility US
Cook Inletkeeper USA
Progressive Democrats of America (PDA) USA
Move Past Plastic (MPP) United States
Project Outreach: Frac Sand Sentinel United States
Animals Are Sentient Beings, Inc. USA
Ocean Conservation Research USA
Third Act USA
Greater New Orleans Interfaith Climate Coalition USA
Putnam Progressived U.S.A.
Sovereign Iñupiat for a Living Arctic (SILA) United States
Inclusive Louisiana USA
Climate Reality Project Greater New Orleans Chapter USA
Concerned Citizens of St. John USA
Louisiana League of Conscious Voters USA
350 New Orleans USA
A Community Voice USA
Fairbanks Climate Action Coalition United States of America
350 Silicon Valley USA
Indivisible United States
North Country Earth Action US
1000 Grandmothers for Future Generations USA
NEPA Green Coalition USA
350 Seattle United States
Stand.earth US & Canada
Physicians for Social Responsibility- – New York United States
Alaska Community Action on Toxics USA
Finkinc United States
Connecticut Citizen Action Group US
Spirit of the Sun United States
System Change Not Climate Change Canada / Mexico / United States
Unite North Metro Denver United States
Womxn from the Mountain United States
Western Slope Businesses for a Livable Climate United States
Wall of Women United States
Working for Racial Equity United States
Small Business Alliance United States
Southwest Organization for Sustainability United States
North Range Concerned Citizens United States
RapidShift Network United States
Our Sacred Earth United States
Save the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency United States
Call to Action Colorado United States
CatholicNetwork US United States
Businesses for a Livable Climate United States
Accelerate Neighborhood Climate Action United States
Greater New Orleans Housing Alliance United States
Green House Connection Center United States
Community for Sustainable Energy United States
Colorado Businesses for a Livable Climate United States
Littleton Business Alliance United States
Indivisible Ambassadors United States
Larimer Alliance for Health, Safety, & Environment United States
Interstate 70 Citizens Advisory Group United States
Mind’s Eye Productions United States
Montbello Neighborhood Improvement Association United States
Mayfair Park Neighborhood Association United States
Mental Health & Inclusion Ministries United States
EarthRights International International
Indus Consortium from Pakistan Pakistan
Legal Rights and Natural Resources Center – Friends of the Earth Philippines Philippines
Social Eco Education US

Footnotes

[1] US plans Alaska LNG summit, will urge Japan, South Korea to support project, April 26, 2025, Reuters
[2] Alaska’s pipe dream: The economic folly of the North Slope gasline, January 23, 2025, Pacific Environment
[3] Prices, not politics, will shape U.S. LNG flows to Japan going forward, February 27, 2025, IEEFA
[4] Japan gas industry head says higher US LNG imports must be mutually beneficial, March 19, 2025, Reuters
[5] Wall Street Journal: Limited interest in Alaska LNG from Asian buyers, August 28, 2023, Alaska Public Media
[6] Results of the FY2024 Surveys: LNG Handling Volume and Destination Restrictions in SPAs by Japanese Companies,November 18, 2024, JOGMEC
[7] South Korea scrapping mega-scale LNG terminal projects amid weakening demand, overinvestment risks, August 01, 2024, IEEFA
[8] Alaska LNG Project EarthJustice (accessed on May,22,2025)
[9] Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5 °C Goal in Reach, September 2023, IEA
[10] see footnote 8
[11] see footnote 8
[12] Arctic Report Card: Update for 2024, 2024, NOAA
[13] Chinook salmon declines related to changes in freshwater conditions, Jul 13, 2020, Cook Inletkeeper
[14] Japan must resist Trump’s Alaska LNG pet project, May 12, 2025, Ben Boettger and Susanne Wong
[15] HSBC to stop financing most new coal plants, oil sands, arctic drilling, April 20, 2018, Reuters
[16] Policy Guidelines for Sensitive Sectors and Activities, RBC
[17] Unfeasible; the promotion of the Alaska LNG development agreed at the Japan-US Summit, February 20, 2025,